On
Sunday 19th march 2023, Egypt Country Climate and Development
Report was held in the faculty of Economics and Political science.
Presented by Dr. Miski Burhan, Director of the Urban Global Practice at
the World Bank and Dr. Nancy Lozana. Discussed by Dr. Sara Adel Mansour,
Assistant Professor, Department of Economics. Introduced by Dr. Adla
Ragab, Economics professor and Center Director. Under the auspices of
the cooperation between CEFRS and World Bank Group.
The main
goal of the conference is discussing the climate changes that’s
happening in the whole world and its consequences, specifically Egypt,
and what are the public policies that the government has to take in
order to the sharpness of these consequences and the economic burdens
that Egypt will face if the scenario of drowning Alexandria and Delta
happens.
It
started with the Dean Dr. Mahmoud Elsaied words who welcomed this
conference.
The conversation started by Dr. Miski Burhan who thanked the faculty,
the Dean and the students who attended, she praised their awareness and
their attempts to solve the climate problems.
She
continued, saying that the MENA region is one of the most exposed to
danger places, and also, the less prepared one especially when it comes
to water security problems.
To find
solutions, the world bank organised the climate change report that
contained many countries like Iraq, Morocco, Jordan and finally Egypt.
She
mentioned that they are concerned about food, water and energy more than
anything else, accordingly, they decided to increase the spending in
MENA region to 10 billion dollars in the next 4 years.
In order
to achieve that they made what they called a development road map to
help them in expanding their vision.
Followed her Dr. Nancy Lozana who expressed her happiness because of
seeing a bid room full of young students who care about the environment
and its problems.
She
clarified that the goal of this report is to find an intersection
between the climate and development challenges.
What are
these challenges and what are the opportunities?
The
first challenge is the high uncertainty of availability of water
resources. She mentioned that climate changes will lead to higher
probability of droughts which will affect the flow of the Nile river
that represents 97% of fresh water resource in Egypt, and added that
droughts will happen at the same time with an increasing demand because
of the continuous increase in the population and industries.
The
second feature is finding an intersection between dangers and
opportunities in cities, today, about 80% of the Egyptian population in
the largest 14 cities are exposed to at least one major climate risk,
and it’s expected for these risks to become deeper, as the population
will increase by 40 million in 2050.
Third,
the world is going towards green projects, so it’s important for Egypt
to compete by reducing carbon emissions.
As Dr.
Nancy finished, Dr. Sara followed her, who said that she will represent
her report in 3 points. The first one is the global perspective, second,
the opportunities of the Egyptian economy about reducing the carbon
emissions, last but not least, the role of formal and informal
organisation in the decision making.
She said
that all what was mentioned was very good but it was only focused on the
role of the formal organisations in forms if laws and regulations, but
to convince people to rationalize their water and energy consumption we
have to do some behavioural changes.
She
continued that from the global perspective, a lot is being achieved but
it’s still not enough. She mentioned the role of cop27 in getting us
closer to the goals of Paris agreement that put 1.5°C as the maximum for
the global warming, and clarified that in case we reached 2°C we’ll face
many negative consequences.
In case
of 1.5°C, 14% are exposed to heat waves at least once every 5 years.
While 37% are exposed to the heat waves if we reached 2°C.
Also
mentioned the importance of giving out part of the GDP of the countries
to spend on the ecosystem and the adaptation to the current changes,
making it clear that the countries which will pay for those consequences
are the developing countries not the countries that caused these
emissions which is unfair.
What is
being spent annually for the climate changes equals 650 million dollar
when it is required to spend 7 trillion dollars to reach Paris agreement
goals so what is being actually spent represents only 10%. For Egypt,
it’s required to spend 250 billion dollars.
She
ended her presentation with stressing on the importance of the informal
organisations and how they affect the spending and the behaviour of the
people.
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