Page 24 - issue 66 en
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               On  October  21,  President  Abdel                      Sisi’s  remarks  followed  an  October

               Fattah  el-Sisi  stated  that  Egypt                18  increase  in  fuel  prices  of  13%  to
               may  need  to  renegotiate  its                     17%, in line with an IMF-backed plan
               program  with  the  International                   to  fully  eliminate  fuel  subsidies  by

               Monetary  Fund  (IMF)  due  to  the                 December  2025.  According  to  Fitch,
               economic strain caused by regional                  the      government           is     growing
               geopolitical  risks.  He  expressed                 increasingly  concerned  about  the
               concern that the reforms required                   potential for social unrest, fueled by
               under  the  program  could  further                 economic  pressures  and  Egypt’s

               burden the population. This comes                   stance on the Gaza conflict. The Fitch
               after     Egypt     has     implemented             Society  Risk  Index  indicates  that
               several  challenging  measures  this                unrest has returned to 2019 levels, a

               year, including a 36% depreciation                  period  marked  by  controversial
               of  the  Egyptian  pound  in  March                 constitutional       amendments           that
               and        successive         hikes       in        extended el-Sisi’s potential rule until
               administered         prices.     Inflation,         2030  and  granted  him  control  over
               which  fell  from  a  peak  of  35.7%  in           the judiciary.

               February to 25.7% in July, has been                     Critical reforms remain for Egypt:
               climbing again since August, driven                 the  elimination  of  fuel  subsidies,
               by increases in fuel and electricity                adherence  to  a  flexible  exchange

               prices.  Inflation  is  projected  to               rate,  the  public  release  of  financial
               reach  around  28%  in  October  and                data,     and     the    privatization      of
               November,  exacerbated  by  the                     military-owned enterprises. Despite a
               recent      fuel    price     hikes     and         70% drop in Suez Canal revenues,            24
               seasonal factors.
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